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March 2009 World economic and property articles
« on: March 01, 2009, 10:28:24 AM »
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7916744.stm
HSBC to announce £12bn share sale

Europe's biggest bank, HSBC, is set to announce a plan to raise more than £12bn through a new rights issue......

.........................Last April, Royal Bank of Scotland asked its shareholders for £12bn in an attempt to shore up its financial position.
However, this week it announced the biggest annual loss in UK corporate history and will now receive an additional £13bn from the taxpayer to shore up its balance sheet

...and I thought HSBC was the banking 'shining star' in all of this mess!!!!


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/7916215.stm
Brown promises banking clean-up
Gordon Brown has reiterated his call for a clean-up of the financial system to ensure what he called "banking responsibility" in the UK and abroad.

Does the phrase "Too little - too late" spring to mind? :-\
The trouble with taking the ‘middle of the road’ position is that you get run over from both directions.

FizzyChickenSoup

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2009, 11:59:33 AM »
Times: Suddenly there are signs of life in the UK housing market
The average sale price is now 88% of original asking price, according to the latest survey from Hometrack. This reinforces the message coming from all parts of the property market that househunters are demanding bargains amid forecasts of further price subsidence. However, Hometrack's numbers do present evidence of signs of life in a previously becalmed market, with new buyer registrations rising by 17% and agreed sales up by 36%. A few agents are reporting multiple bids for some properties, with correctly priced homes going under offer relatively quickly.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/property_and_mortgages/article5827423.ece

Reuters via Yahoo: Bank deputy says rates may rise
Official UK interest rates will need to rise before any economic recovery is felt on the ground to stave off the risks of an inflationary surge, former Bank of England Deputy Governor John Gieve said. "We've got to hold on to the fact that inflation will be kept low," Gieve said in an interview with the Sunday Times. "That will require some very difficult decisions because it will require the Bank to start raising rates before it is obvious on the street that the economy is getting better."
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/22/20090301/tpl-uk-britain-bank-gieve-20b2d2f.html

Telegraph: Bank of England poised for rate cut
The Bank of England is set to bring interest rates down to an effective zero-level within days and to sound the starting pistol on quantitative easing, pumping extra cash into the economy. The Government is putting the finishing touches to a letter to the Bank endorsing its proposal to embark on this radical policy. The Bank's governor, Mervyn King, will be granted approval by the Treasury within days to create up to 150bn in new money in the coming months to buy up everything from corporate bonds to government debt. It will pave the way for the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee effectively to "start the presses" at its interest rate setting meeting this Thursday.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/interestrates/4885652/Bank-of-England-poised-for-rate-cut.html

TimesOnline: Scotland's retirement age may rise above 70
In a failed attempt to jump on the pensions bandwagon the Times rolled out this dramatic piece about a Scottish pension crisis in 2056. I am guessing that a panic now about something in -47 years- isn't really necessary. Interesting to see the pension crisis "meme" spread.
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/public_sector/article5822180.ece

Market Oracle: Why China's Economy is Booming
How could China explode higher when the world is in its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression? What about the tens of thousands of factories closing in China and the millions of Chinese losing their jobs that we're hearing about? Read the article to find out why China is booming
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9143.html

CNN: Regulators shutter 2 more banks
http://money.cnn.com/2009/02/27/news/companies/bank_failure/index.htm?postversion=2009022721

Aboutproperty.com: US Foreclosure Auction Giant Comes to 'Flood UK Property Market'
A massive US property auction company, currently specialising in foreclosed properties, is coming to the UK, reports the Guardian. The company, Real Estate Disposition Company has been approaching UK mortgage lenders about selling their properties, and plans to use the same signs as it uses in the US, which clearly state that a home has been repossessed. UK residents are worried that these signs, and th fact that REDC will flood the market with cheap properties, could devalue surrounding homes and even destabilise the property market in an area.
http://www.write-about-property.com/articles/us-foreclosure-auction-giant-comes-to--flood-uk-property-market--210.php

Breitbart: Swiss minister hints at 'concessions' on banking secrecy
Finance Minister Hans-Rudolf Merz said Saturday that Switzerland might have to make some concessions on banking secrecy to avoid being placed on an international backlist. ~~~~ A leading Swiss private banker, Ivan Pictet, warned in a newspaper interview this week that Switzerland's financial services industry, a pillar of the economy, "would shrink by up to half of its size" without banking secrecy.
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=CNG.2b0b8bd405048e19f36fa896834ca058.ca1&show_article=1

SCI: Stable Currency Index
I recently became a subscriber of EWI because their direct advice on surviving the looming financial collapse has impressed me (also Techieman recommended them). They have developed this Stable Currency Index. "The SCI blends four major currencies, each selected for stability, into a new, super-stable composite that hedges against extremes of any individual currency in the world." The countries are Switzerland, Singapore, New Zealand and USA. Currently it is only an index but they seem to be working on making it into an ETF and other investment vehicles. Shame about including the dollar though. Alternative to gold perhaps as a hedge against GBP collapse?
http://www.stablecurrencyindex.com/

MoneyWeek: Now it's the euro's turn for an ugly spell
In 2007 the forex market marked down the dollar. Late last year it focused on the pound. Now it seems it's time for the euro to come under the cosh.
http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/now-its-the-euros-turn-for-an-ugly-spell-42407.aspx

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2009, 09:11:37 PM »
This is not an article as such so apologies in advance, its a conversation I had with a very close friend of mine today who happens to be MD of Countrywide Estate Agents, the largest estate agency chain in the UK.

I called him to ask his advice on a property that a friend of mine was considering buying in Kensington, London. During the conversation I asked how he was coping with things in the downturn, expecting a sorry tale of gloom, and his immediate reply was that they had just had the best month on record for sales in the South/South West of England  and it wasn't just confined to that part of the country!

I found it hard to believe at first, and asked how this could happen and he said that all this caution has meant that fewer people were putting their properties on the market i.e undersupply/overdemand so in many situations he has 2/3 people going after the better properties (by this I guess he means realistically priced and in the right location).

It just shows the vagueries of the property market and no matter how bad things may seem people DO and WANT to move.

A little bit of good news to break up all the bad that I seem to post

Cheers

Paul

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2009, 06:02:46 AM »
Hi CA,

Quote
A little bit of good news to break up all the bad that I seem to post

And now you think all is forgiven!   ;D

Cheers
Poul

PS Keep the posts coming.



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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2009, 09:10:40 AM »
Thanks Poul  ;)

Very sorry but after last nights events I suppose its back to usual  :-\

The Daily Telegraph: QE is a useful tool for the Bank as it tries to fix the economic plumbing
For something with such an obscure name, this policy has already caused an extraordinary amount of controversy. I can imagine that they will soon be arguing about quantitative easing down the Dog and Duck. So what are we to believe? Is it a case of Zimbabwe here we come? The key to recovery is sustaining bank lending at a higher level – and that will take more than just drowning the system in cash.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/rogerbootle/4902166/QE-is-a-useful-tool-for-the-Bank-as-it-tries-to-fix-the-economic-plumbing.html

International Herald Tribune: Eurozone inflation rises unexpectedly
After the US reported a rise in inflation last week, now the Eurozone reveals that inflation (CPI) rose unexpectedly to 1.2% in February, from 1.1% in Jan. Economists had expected the CPI to have dropped to 1.0%. I guess slashing interest rates and printing money isn't the best way to avoid inflation after all.Deflationistas have been left feeling... deflated.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2009/03/02/business/02cpi.php

BBC: Stocks rattled by financial fears
Stock markets have fallen worldwide, rattled by fears that turmoil in the financial sector is far from over. On Wall Street, the US Dow Jones index fell below 7,000 points for the first time since October 1997. In the UK, the FTSE 100 index briefly hit a six-year low. Markets elsewhere in Europe also fell sharply.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7918168.stm

The Times: Suspicion and self-interest behind the European Union rift
It should have been the moment when the whole of Europe pulled in the same direction to rebuild the world’s financial system. Instead, a gathering of EU leaders yesterday before next month’s G20 summit was marked by suspicion and self-interest, with the economic crisis exposing deep faultlines on how best to respond to the downturn
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article5828279.ece

MoneyWeek: The stock market slide isn't over yet
Recent moves in the stock markets show beyond doubt that we are experiencing a bear market of historic proportions. So how far do we have left to go?
http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/stock-markets/the-slide-in-shares-isnt-over-yet-14643.aspx

Market Oracle: Global Recession Deepens as No End to Financial Collapse
Renowned investor George Soros said on Friday the world financial system has effectively disintegrated, adding that there is yet no prospect of a near-term resolution to the crisis
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9177.html

BBC: Islamic banks 'better in crisis'
Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has called on Islamic banks to take a leadership role in the global economy, amid the financial crisis. He was speaking at the opening of the World Islamic Economic Forum in the Indonesian capital, Jakarta. The forum has brought together political and business leaders from 38 countries to discuss the global economic slowdown.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7918129.stm

Dailymail: Taxpayer to the rescue: Multi-billion pound bail-out as PFI funding dries up
Taxpayers are to be forced to bail out a £21.5 billion programme for new hospitals, schools and roads as private funding collapses in the recession.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1158365/Taxpayer-rescue-Multi-billion-pound-bail-PFI-funding-dries-up.html

Contract Journal: £1 trillion wiped off the value of UK homes
If the Nationwide figures are any reflection of the true value of houses in the UK then we have just witness about £1 trillion wiped off the value of the nation's housing stock in the same time it has taken for the full lunacy of the ABN Amro deal to be realised.
http://www.contractjournal.com/blogs/brickonomics/2009/02/1-trillion-wiped-off-the-value.html

MoneyWeek: Don't buy into the HSBC rights issue
HSBC is going cap in hand to shareholders to raise £12.5bn. But even though it's the healthiest bank in the FTSE 100, that's still no reason to take up the rights issue, writes John Stepek.
http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/stock-markets/dont-buy-into-the-hsbc-rights-issue-14644.aspx

Reuters: AIG failure would be disastrous for global markets
While putting more taxpayer money at risk is unlikely to be palatable in the current economic environment, analysts said the U.S. government had little choice. Without government intervention, AIG's expected losses would prompt credit ratings downgrades -- triggering even more debilitating losses for the insurer, and its trading partners. "The government really does not have the option of letting AIG totally blow up," said Robert Haines, senior insurance analyst at CreditSights, AIG's foray into the roughly $28.5 trillion credit default swap market left it heavily exposed to losses on toxic mortgage assets that it had guaranteed against default.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/stocksAndSharesNews/idUKLNE52101620090302?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2009, 06:14:29 PM »
I have deliberately been hunting for less negative news (change from the normal stuff posted) and found the following:

The Number 10 website
http://thecrownblogspot.blogspot.com/2009/03/downing-street-website-spoof.html

Times: Suddenly there are signs of life in the UK housing market
The average sale price is now 88% of original asking price, according to the latest survey from Hometrack. This reinforces the message coming from all parts of the property market that househunters are demanding bargains amid forecasts of further price subsidence. However, Hometrack's numbers do present evidence of signs of life in a previously becalmed market, with new buyer registrations rising by 17% and agreed sales up by 36%. A few agents are reporting multiple bids for some properties, with correctly priced homes going under offer relatively quickly.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/property_and_mortgages/article5827423.ece

The lighter side of the economic crisis
http://toughmoneylove.com/2008/12/04/taking-on-the-lighter-side-of-economic-bad-news/

House prices RISE in prime London locations
Asking prices for properties in London's best-heeled areas increased by an average of 1.3% (£16,106) in January, according to Primelocation.com – the second index to report a rise in house prices last month.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/money/2009/feb/11/house-prices-rise-in-prime-london-locations

How to Benefit From an Economic Downturn
http://www.ehow.com/how_2067154_benefit-from-economic-downturn.html

Thats as good as I can do for the moment, anyone else found anything positive?!

Cheers

Paul

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #6 on: March 04, 2009, 09:56:47 AM »
Malaysia may face full-blown recession
KUALA LUMPUR: There is a 50% chance Malaysia will fall into a “full-blown” recession this year, said Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) executive director Prof Datuk Mohamed Ariff Abdul Kareem.
“Technical recession is almost certain. The 1.3% (real gross domestic product (GDP) forecast in January) is considered optimistic. In fact, I think the best-case scenario will be 0.5% growth this year.
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/3/4/business/3397864&sec=business

Yahoo: Vauxhall May Have To Close Without Bail-Out
Why should we bailout companies only to be charged high prices from the same companies in the future plus higher taxes..
http://uk.biz.yahoo.com/03032009/140/vauxhall-close-bail.html

Reuters: Q+A - What does quantitative easing mean?
WILL IT BE EFFECTIVE? The policy was pursued by Japan at the start of this decade with little success. Still, analysts reckon it will provide a helpful boost to UK activity, although it is difficult to say at this point how quickly it will feed through to the wider economy and how much money will need to be created to have the desired effect of stimulating growth and preventing deflation.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/UKNews1/idUKTRE52212Y20090303?pageNumber=1&virtualBrandChannel=0

Australia's Economy Unexpectedly Contracts for First Time in Eight Years
Australia’s economy unexpectedly shrank in the fourth quarter for the first time in eight years as exports and housing slumped, increasing pressure on the central bank to add to a record round of interest-rate cuts.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=aBMiKnA9xYn4&refer=asia

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2009, 10:24:50 AM »
Malaysian Economy MAY contract by 1.19% in 2009 - If some of us are getting worried here about the economy, I think that we should be thankful we are here and not in the other countries that the following articles relate to.
KUALA LUMPUR: The Malaysian economy will most probably see a full blown recession this year given the steep deterioration in recent economic activities both locally and globally.
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/3/5/business/3408526&sec=business

Telegraph: Europe’s banks face a $2 trillion dollar shortage
The BIS said European and British banks have relied on an “unstable” source of funding, borrowing in their local currencies to finance “long positions in US dollars”. Much of this has to be rolled over in short-term debt markets. The currency mismatch has become a potential risk for banks as the dollar continues to climb against the euro and Swiss franc, and especially sterling and Sweden’s krona.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/recession/4939796/Europes-banks-face-a-2-trillion-dollar-shortage.html

The Market Oracle: Subprime Eastern Europe to Bankrupt Western European Banks
Eastern europe threatens default on $2 trillion of debt bringing European banking sector liabilities to $23 trillion.
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9241.html

Bloomberg: More Than 8.3 Million U.S. Mortgages Are Underwater
8.3m U.S. mortgage holders owed more on their loans in Q4 08 than their property was worth as the recession cut home values by $2.4 trillion last year, First American CoreLogic said. An additional 2.2m borrowers will be underwater if home prices decline another 5%, First American, a Santa Ana, California-based seller of mortgage and economic data, said in a report today. Households with negative equity or near it account for 1/4 of all mortgage holders. Prices in 20 U.S. cities fell 18.5% in December from a year earlier, the fastest drop on record, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index. U.S. foreclosure filings exceeded 250,000 for the 10th straight month in January, RealtyTrac Inc. reported. An average of 230,000 borrowers a month slid to negative equity in Q4 08, First American said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aOpE4o.BuHfM&refer=home

BBC: Problems mount at sub-prime firm
UK sub-prime lender Cattles says there has been a failure of internal accounting controls at the firm and it is suspending three senior managers. The firm currently has a market value of £15m, but borrowing of 2.4 billion.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7920772.stm

Reuters: Bank of England set to boost money supply as rates near zero
This article suggests that the amount of QE will be 100 billion. To put that in perspective, there are 20 million workers in the UK, everybody else is either a dependant or a state dependant. Thats 5000 per worker. I hope this is just talk to move the market, because that seems a bit too much for my liking. Maybe the intention is to trickle feed the money a bit at a time.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUKTRE5232RC20090304

The Times: UK Food prices surge 9% despite inflation fall
Shop price inflation rose last month because of the increasing cost of meat, fresh produce and tinned goods, with overall prices up at an annual rate of 9 per cent, from 7.5 per cent in January. The cost of fresh food was 10.4 per cent higher in February than the same month last year. But the cost of ambient goods, such as tinned food or ready meals was also pushed higher as the cost of imported food rose because of the weak pound. The cost of an average basket of 24 staple items in the supermarket was 17 per cent higher last month than in February 2007, a separate survey by mysupermarket, the price comparison website, showed recently. The cost of an average basket of 24 staple items in the supermarket was 17 per cent higher last month than in February 2007, a separate survey
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article5844672.ece

BBC: Canada Cuts Rates to Record Low
"Canada's central bank has cut its key interest rate from 1% to 0.5%, a record low, as it tries to stem the effects of the global economic downturn. Canada has been hurt by the recession in the US, its biggest export market, and the decline in commodity prices".
http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7921580.stm

FT: Ukraine risks unrest as ills worsen
Olexander Pavlenko, a young computer programmer, is one of tens of thousands of Ukrainians who cannot get their money out of the bank. He stood in line in Kiev at Nadra Bank and Ukrprombank, two big troubled banks, planning to withdraw more than $10,000 (€7,950, £7,125). But like many others, he was told the cash was not available.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/67fba682-075a-11de-9294-000077b07658.html?nclick_check=1

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It's time to stuff the matress
« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2009, 11:23:39 PM »
http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7925620.stm

UK interest rates lowered to 0.5%

The Bank of England has cut interest rates to 0.5% - a fresh all-time low - and says it will now boost the money supply to help revive the economy.

Interest rates have now been reduced six times since October, and the latest half a percentage point cut from February's 1% had been expected.

The Bank said it would expand the amount of money in the system by £75bn in an attempt to boost bank lending.

This policy, so far untried in the UK, is called quantitative easing.

Not much point in having money in the bank anymore....it is probably safer in the matress!!!
The trouble with taking the ‘middle of the road’ position is that you get run over from both directions.

FizzyChickenSoup

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #9 on: March 06, 2009, 10:18:50 AM »
Hi FCS

I tried stuffing the money in the mattress, but the things getting so thin that I'm having trouble sleeping!


The Oil Drum: An Adverse Scenario
Skip past the oil stuff at the top, down to the financial bit:- "With all of the debt defaults, some sort of debt jubilee may be necessary. The problem with a debt jubilee is that there would be many too many claimants for many of the world's assets. The debts that are cancelled are likely to cross country borders, making for international disputes. Furthermore, countries may want to retaliate for a loss of one of their overseas investments by grabbing a business located in its own country that has overseas owners. In not very long, relationships among countries are likely to deteriorate, and international trade will be at much lower levels than in the past. War may even break out."
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5160

SKY: Bank Governor: New Money Will Beat UK Recession
"Bank Of England Governor Mervyn King has said interest rates will fall no further - and promised that £75bn of newly "printed" money would trigger recovery". Hurrah, the cavalry at last!
http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/UK-News/Bank-Of-England-Governor-Mervyn-King-Says-Interest-Rates-And-Quantitative-Easing-Will-Boost-Economy/Article/200903115235627?lpos=UK_News_First_Buisness_Article_Teaser_Region_0&lid=ARTICLE_15235627_Bank_Of_England_Governor

An alternative to the above article
King `Groping in the Dark' as BOE Expands Money Supply to Rescue Economy  
Bank of England Governor Mervyn King, criticized for his initial response to the credit crisis, is now embarking on one of the biggest risks in British economic history.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601102&sid=aX3izMTqAyJg&refer=uk
Note that even Bloomberg say that it is one of the biggest economic risks in British economic history, who you going to believe Bloomberg or Sky??!

Fox News No Less: Russian Scholar Says U.S. Will Collapse Next Year
MOSCOW — If you're inclined to believe Igor Panarin, and the Kremlin wouldn't mind if you did, then President Barack Obama will order martial law this year, the U.S. will split into six rump-states before 2011, and Russia and China will become the backbones of a new world order. Panarin might be easy to ignore but for the fact that he is a dean at the Foreign Ministry's school for future diplomats and a regular on Russia's state-guided TV channels. And his predictions fit into the anti-American story line of the Kremlin leadership. "There is a high probability that the collapse of the United States will occur by 2010," Panarin told dozens of students, professors and diplomats Tuesday at the Diplomatic Academy — a lecture the ministry pointedly invited The Associated Press
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,504384,00.html

Bloomberg: Citigroup Stock Below $1 as Investor Faith Erodes (Update1)
March 5 (Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc., once the world’s biggest bank by market value, dropped below $1 in New York trading for the first time as investors lose confidence the shares can recover after more than $37.5 billion in losses and a government rescue. Citigroup fell to $1.03 at 12:32 p.m. on the New York Stock Exchange after reaching 97 cents earlier today, marking an 85 percent decline this year and giving the New York-based company a market value of $5.5 billion. At its peak in late 2006, Citigroup stock was worth $55.70, for a market value of $277.2 billion. NYSE Euronext, which owns the New York Stock Exchange ?????????, has suspended until June 30 a rule that delisted companies trading below $1 after six months.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPu.Dqb0LCR4&refer=home

Spectator: House prices have a lot further to fall
If you own property, look away now because what follows is ugly reading. Margaret Beckett's 'green shoots' were illusory, and the 2.0% upswing in house prices that Halifax recorded for January has been more than offset with a 2.3% fall in Feb. So far prices are down 20 percent from their peak, and it won’t get any better. It may well be the 2020s before anyone who bought in the last few years will recover their capital.
http://www.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/3413146/house-prices-have-a-lot-further-to-fall.thtml

First Rung: UK House Prices continue to fall at an alarming pace
This article says that prices have fallen 20% from their 2007 peak 17% last year and says it is even more important that FTB get 2010 prices this year therefore they should offer 15% off asking price which I assume should be 20% off the 2007 price , which is a 35% fall.
http://firstrung.co.uk/articles.asp?pageid=NEWS&articlekey=11063

BBC: Euro rates hit record low of 1.5%
The European Central Bank (ECB) has cut its key interest rate to 1.5% from 2.0%, the lowest since it started setting euro rates in January 1999. It followed a cut in UK rates by the Bank of England. US and Japanese rates are already effectively zero. A cut had been expected at the March meeting since ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet had described it as a key "rendezvous" for ECB rate-setters. Attention now turns to what other ways the ECB may try to boost the economy.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7925641.stm

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2009, 11:29:47 AM »
The Daily Telegraph: Retirement plans of millions of Britons at risk after Bank of England prints money
In a mere 24 hours the size of the pension deficits facing some of Britain’s biggest companies has jumped by around £100 billion to a record £390 billion - the equivalent of over £150,000 for every member of a final salary scheme. The increase is a direct result of the Bank’s announcement this week to create £150 billion and pour it directly into the financial system, experts said.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/pensions/4950466/Retirement-plans-of-millions-of-Britons-at-risk-after-Bank-of-England-prints-money.html

ECB's Stark Says Interest-Rate Reductions Won't `Solve' Financial Crisis 
European Central Bank Executive Board member Juergen Stark said cutting interest rates won’t remedy the financial crisis and pushing them too low may backfire.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601085&sid=abyd1k3T2dyA&refer=europe

Times: Lloyds primed for 1980s slump
Lloyds Banking Group with the government nod of approval is preparing to survive a 1980s-style U-shaped recession and government approved stress tests predict a worst case scenario of a 6% drop in GDP from Peak to Trough. Interestingly although the bank has been keen to avoid any state support, it has been under pressure from the Treasury and UK Financial Investments to sign up to the scheme.
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article5864463.ece

The Daily Mash: KING UNVEILS RADICAL PLAN TO **** BRITAIN INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
Later today the government will release details of a scheme where people can hand in their wallets and purses in exchange for a shiny, new wheelbarrow to carry their money around in.
http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/news/business/king-unveils-radical-plan-to-oops-britain-into-middle-of-next-week-200903061625/

MoneyWeek: Why quantitative easing won’t work
Now it has virtually nowhere left to go with interest rates, the Bank of England has started on the next phase of its great monetary experiment – quantitative easing. John Stepek explains what it is and why it's a futile exercise.
http://www.moneyweek.com/news-and-charts/economics/why-quantitative-easing-wont-work-14655.aspx

Guardian: Key to Recovery? US House Prices
When will THEY get it! The article says "it's easy to forget it was the "delinquency"­ rate among sub-prime mortgages in the US that started this crisis." NO LIKE THE UK IT WAS LENDING OVER 3x's PEOPLE'S INCOME that led to this crisis, allowing houses to be used for investment instead of simply homes that led to this crisis...encouraging world wide investment in spiraling house prices due to investment therefore no incentive to say STOP and return to sensible lending. We can't blame people defaulting on overpriced property for the problem WHO LENT THEM THE MONEY WHO ALLOWED HOUSE PRICE TO INFLATE IN THE UK 190% IN 10 YEARS? US property prices I believe only inflated 78% and their defaulters (not just subprime) broke the global banks, what will 5 million in the UK in negative equity do?
http://www.megaclick.com/notfound/?lg=en&type=dns&tbtype=megaup&q=http://www.guardian.co.uk/money/2009/mar/07/on-reflection-house-prices-recovery

British Airways Debt Is Reduced to Junk by S&P, Remains on Negative Watch 
British Airways Plc had its credit rating cut to “junk” by Standard & Poor’s, which said Europe’s third-largest carrier will struggle to generate cash amid the slump in demand for travel.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601102&sid=al9Na3_PpCa4&refer=uk

Debenhams Buys Principles Stock as No Purchaser Found
March 7 (Bloomberg) -- Debenhams Plc, the second-largest U.K. department-store company, will buy the majority of the stock at Mosaic Fashions Hf’s Principles stores after administrators failed to find a buyer for the clothing chain.
Sixty-six Principles stores will close while 19 will continue to do business, administrators Deloitte LLP said today in an e-mailed statement. Administrators fired 110 head-office staff at Principles yesterday and plan more “significant redundancies” over the next few weeks, the statement said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601102&sid=agdd83FQBw4E&refer=uk

Online HIDDENTopic starter

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #11 on: March 09, 2009, 09:41:37 PM »
http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7932799.stm

Pound slides as bank shares hit
   
The pound has sunk back below $1.40 to a six-week low, as confidence in the UK economy took yet another knock following falls in bank shares.

The pound was down almost three cents at $1.3778. Sterling touched its lowest levels in 24 years in mid-January, nearing $1.35.

UK financial shares fell in Monday trading after the government increased its stake in Lloyds Banking Group.

Against the euro, the pound was down one-and-a-half cents at 1.098 euros......etc
The trouble with taking the ‘middle of the road’ position is that you get run over from both directions.

FizzyChickenSoup

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #12 on: March 10, 2009, 10:34:10 AM »
Thoughts
The credit crunch started in the US approximately 520 days ago, during the great depression at this same stage (520 days in) the US main index was down 48%, as we currently stand during this new recession/depression the US main market is down about 53%?? Scary eh..

Since Mr Obama has taken office the US main stock market has fallen a further 1500 points, no one is saying he is directly to blame but could it be an indication of his policies/stimulus plans? Before anyone goes off on one, these are from both Bloomberg and CNBC, just something to think about.

Anyone getting slightly worried now about HSBCs current share plunge?

Malaysia Plans Second Stimulus Package to Fight Slump ...
March 9 (Bloomberg) -- Malaysia may unveil tax cuts, public spending and other measures totaling more than 30 billion ringgit ($8 billion) tomorrow, more than four times an earlier plan, as it seeks to avoid a recession this year.  
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ad7s5sUw8PSw


FT: Fresh pessimism sweeps over credit sector
Credit market indicators – barometers of stress since the financial crisis began 18 months ago – are once more flashing red. Heightened concern over the fate of US carmakers and worries about escalating losses at banks and financial institutions and at General Electric, the largest debt issuer in capital markets, are creating a grim mood. “There has been a strong repricing of credit risk as there is a panic almost about the financial sector,” Brian Yelvington, strategist at Creditsights, says.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/bbaa8a16-0cda-11de-a555-0000779fd2ac.html

Guardian: IMF: Fifth of Britain's GDP spent so far on bailouts
Alistair Darling has already spent almost a fifth of Britain's GDP on bailing out its shattered banking system – more than any other major economy, according to a grave assessment of the world financial crisis published today by the International Monetary Fund. With G20 finance ministers due to gather in Sussex next Friday for a two-day meeting before the London summit in April, the IMF has totted up the costs of financial bailouts so far. It calculates that the UK has spent as much as 19.8% of its GDP, topping the table of G20 countries
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/mar/06/imf-uk-bailout-gdp

HIP-Consultant.co.uk: House Prices Fall to 2005 Levels - four years of net asset growth wiped off just like that..
Land Registry figures released at the end of February show that house prices in the UK have fallen to the same levels they were at in March, 2005.
http://www.hip-consultant.co.uk/blog/house-prices-fall-to-2005-levels-123/

MoneyWeek: The one critical reason to avoid the banking sector
The sorry tale of Lloyds' takeover of HBOS shows why you shouldn't touch the banking sector with a bargepole. John Stepek explains how financial institutions are being crippled, and economic recovery delayed, by government interference.
http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/stock-markets/the-one-critical-reason-to-avoid-the-banking-sector-14658.aspx

Reuters via Yahoo: UK Economy to shrink by 2.8 percent this year
The economic downturn will be deeper than previously thought this year and the recovery will be muted, the British Chambers of Commerce said on Monday. {and from the silly figures dept!} And it revised down its growth forecast for 2010 to 0.8 percent from 1.1 percent in January. It also said it expects unemployment to hit 3.2 million in the second half of 2010, or just over 10 percent of the workforce, higher than its January forecast of 3.1 million
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/22/20090309/tuk-uk-britain-bcc-fa6b408_2.html

Overvalued euro set to plunge ?within months' - Euro Investors take note
Telegraph: Spread betting companies have reported a huge wave of short euro trades in the last two weeks, leading to speculation that a significant correction in the currency will come in the next few months.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/4958831/Overvalued-euro-set-to-plunge-within-months.html

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #13 on: March 10, 2009, 05:42:07 PM »
WARNING MORE DOOM AND GLOOM!! - This global economic slowdown is setting new records across the board, here are some details of the new records being set:

* BUDGETS:

    -- Japan had a current account deficit of 172.8 billion yen ($1.8 billion) in January, its first time in the red since  January 1996 and much bigger than a forecast of 15.3 billion  yen. The deficit came as the global financial crisis dried up  demand for Japanese exports.
 
-- U.S. President Barack Obama on Feb. 26 forecast a deficit of $1.75 trillion for 2009, which at 12.3 percent of GDP would be the biggest since World War Two. A $569 billion U.S. budget  deficit for the first four months of fiscal 2009 was a record
for the period.

-- China's 2009 budget deficit is expected to leap eight-fold to 950 billion yuan ($139 billion), its biggest on record.
    
-- Britain's budget deficit for the fiscal year so far hit a  record high and statisticians warned bank bailouts could raise  total debt by up to 1.5 trillion pounds ($2.15 trillion), or 100  percent of GDP. Public sector net borrowing stood at 67.201 billion pounds between April 2008 and January, the highest since  records began in 1993.
    
* CORPORATE LOSSES:
    
-- American International Group Inc  reported a $61.7  billion fourth-quarter loss on March 2, the largest quarterly  loss in U.S. corporate history.
    
-- Royal Bank of Scotland posted the biggest loss in UK corporate history on Feb 26 with a 24.1 billion pound ($34.3 billion) loss for 2008.
    
* FUNDS:
    
-- Investors pulled a record $155 billion out of hedge funds in 2008 marking just the second time since 1990 that the industry suffered net annual outflows.

* INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT:
    
-- Japanese industrial production fell 10.0 percent in  January the largest monthly drop ever.
    
-- Euro zone industrial production in November fell by a record 7.7 percent year on year, the steepest drop since records started in 1990.
    
-- German industrial output in December fell by a record 4.6 percent month on month and by 12.0 percent from a year earlier.
 
* INFLATION:  
    
--  Sweden's yearly inflation rate posted its biggest monthly decline since records began in the 1950s, eclipsing a 1.0 percent decline in January 1998.
    
-- Prices fell a monthly 1.3 percent in Dec. 2008 versus a forecast 0.5 percent decline and a 0.8 percent drop a month earlier. The official consumer price data series began in 1980 but before that there was another monthly cost-of-living indicator that started in 1954.
    
* INTEREST RATES:
    
-- The European Central Bank cut interest rates to an all-time low of 1.5 percent on March 5, the lowest level in the
ECB's 10-year history.
    
-- The Bank of England cut interest rates by 50 basis points to a record low of 0.5 percent on March 5, their lowest level since the bank was created in 1694.
    
-- Sweden's central bank cut its key interest rate a record low of 1.0 percent on Feb. 11, lowering the repo rate, now at its lowest level since its introduction in 1994 and marking the lowest official Swedish interest rate since records began in 1907.
    
* JOBS:
    
-- The U.S. unemployment rate rose to a 25-year high of 8.1 percent in February as employers, axed 651,000 jobs. February's
jobless rate was the highest since December 1983. The increase was the biggest for any month since April 1980.     -- Canada cut a record 129,000 workers in January in its worst job losses since data began in 1976  
    
-- Ireland's unemployment benefit claims in January hit the highest monthly level since records began in 1967. Its seasonally adjusted Live Register tally hit 326,100 in January up from 293,100 in December, the highest ever monthly rise.
    
* MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS:
    
-- More mergers and acquisition deals were withdrawn in 2008 than ever before, with overall activity down 35 percent as more than 1,100 deals were cancelled.
    
* STOCKS:
    
-- Gloom over the global economy hurt the Tokyo stock market, with the Nikkei average hitting a 26-year closing low on
March 9, of 7,086.03.
    
-- Tokyo's Nikkei stock average fell around 42 percent in 2008, the biggest loss in its 58-year history.
    
-- World stocks, measured by the MSCI index <>, on Feb. 24 hit their lowest level since April 2003
    
-- Japan's broad TOPIX index <.TOPX> touched a 25-year intraday low on March 9.
 
-- China's stock market fell 65 percent in 2008 in the worst fall in its 18-year history and the worst performance by major
stock market for the year.
    
* TRADE:
    
-- Britain's goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened to 8.330 billion pounds ($12.46 billion) in November  from 7.631 billion in October, the biggest since records began  in 1697. Economists had forecast a deficit of 7.5 billion  pounds.
    
-- Canada posted a trade deficit of C$460 million in December, its first since March 1976 when it was C$79 million.

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Re: March 2009 World economic and property articles
« Reply #14 on: March 11, 2009, 09:54:47 AM »
Home Sales in New Zealand Rise to 12-Month High Following Price Declines
New Zealand home sales rose to a 12 month high in February, adding to signs that low interest rates and falling prices are helping the property market recover from record lows.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=ayJ6GUdj6sUk&refer=asia

ITV: ITV UK Property Portfolio
Interesting feature of tonights main ITV news - In conjunction with the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, ITV News is tracking the true drama of the housing market. ITV's Property Portfolio will follow the changing market month by month. Click on the properties to watch a video.
http://www.itv.com/News/newsspecial/PropertyPortfolio/default.html

Telegraph: Inflation will kill the gilt rally in the end
Telegraph warns of coming problems with gilts. That the government is printing for expenditure is out in the open. The conclusion from the author is to stick to inflation-linked, however, can the government cover inflation-linked debt? They can't cover those with printing during an inflationary spiral, possibly they can be creative with inflation measurements. The BoE must be congratulated on their attempts to induce inflationary expectations.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/recession/4967505/Inflation-will-kill-the-gilt-rally-in-the-end.html

Yahoo: 5 Reasons Renting Still Beats Buying
Why through your money away on a mortgage when you can pay rent. It always adds up to more house for less money.
http://realestate.yahoo.com/promo/5-reasons-renting-still-beats-buying.html;

Bloomberg: China Home Prices Fall by Record on Slowing Economy
Chinese home prices fell by a record last month, paced by a 15 percent plunge in the southern export hub of Shenzhen, where factories closed as growth in the world’s third-biggest economy slowed.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601206&sid=aE7FdBub_RzY&refer=realestate

The Times: The UK top 20 burglary hotspots
Doncaster and Bristol have been named as the UK's thieving hotspots in a study by Moneysupermarket.com, the financial comparison website. The study highlights the postcodes where the highest proportion of homes have made an insurance claim for a burglary in the past 12 months.
http://timesbusiness.typepad.com/money_weblog/2009/02/is-your-home-in.html

BBC News: Worst crisis since 1930s says Fed
US Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke says the world is suffering from the worst financial crisis since the 1930s. Mr Bernanke argues that the roots of the current global economic downturn stem from global imbalances in trade and flows of capital in the late 1990s. In a speech to the Council on Foreign Relations, he argues that the US and its trading partners did not do enough to redress these imbalances. He also says future economic recovery depends on financial stability.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7934920.stm

Reuters: Signs of the Times
Odd articles about recession, i like the jam sandwich one what a scam...
http://www.reuters.com/news/factbox?fj=20090213212622.js&fn=Signs%20of%20the%20Times

 

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